Two-Point Conversion Plays

Two-point conversions average around 47% in the modern NFL — historically high, thanks to RPO-era short-yardage offense. The plays that hit are mostly the same plays that hit on 3rd-and-goal-from-the-2.

Pick concept from a stack is the most-called 2-point play. The natural rub frees a receiver inside the 5; the QB has a clean read and a 2-yard throw.

QB sneak is the second-most. From the 2-yard line, even a sneak that picks up 1.5 yards is a one-on-one battle for the line of scrimmage with the goal line.

The tush push variant has changed 2-point math. Teams that have a good push play convert at over 60%, raising the league average and making coaches more aggressive about going for two.

Power with a lead blocker is the old-school answer. Less reliable than the sneak (more bodies, more variables) but the 2-point play has 5 yards of room — enough for a power scheme to develop.

The trick play (flea-flicker, halfback pass) is the wild card. Run it once a season as a surprise — the math says you'll either score or fail, and the surprise factor is most of the value. Don't over-rely on it.